MIAMI, Florida – Subtropical Storm Nicole formed Monday as the latest named system of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season and could affect Florida in the coming days.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said in its 1 p.m. ET bulletin Monday that the system had maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and was moving northwest at 9 mph as it was located 465 miles east of the Bahamas.
South Florida is in the cone of the system’s path that is forecast to move over the state Thursday night.
Severe weather is expected to persist over the northwest Bahamas, Florida, and the southeast coast of the United States this week.
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Alarms and watches
A tornado watch is in effect:
- Northwest Bahamas
- Florida’s east coast from the Volusia/Brevard County line
- Lake Okeechobee
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for:
- Altamaha Sound to Hallandale Beach
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect:
- Altamaha Sound south to Volusia Brevard County line
- Hallandale Beach north of Ocean Rock
The NHC says interests in the central Bahamas, Florida and the southeast coast of the United States should monitor Nicole’s progress.
November is the last month of hurricane season, when tropical activity generally begins to wane. However, the 2022 hurricane season has been pushed back and all storms impacting the Atlantic this year formed after August.
The state of Florida has been hit by tropical systems in November nine times in the past 170 years, a 5 percent chance in any given year.
Seven of those nine are from the Western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. That makes this week’s developing system, if it converges and hits Florida, extremely rare.
For now, the forecast indicates that rain will increase in frequency and intensity as we approach the middle of the week. It is increasingly windy, dangerous sea conditions and a high risk of rip currents.
According to an analysis by meteorologist John Morales, winds and tides combined with a full moon and rising sea levels to create significant coastal flooding are worsening climate change. Communities near Fort Lauderdale, Miami Beach, Miami Shores, Biscayne Boulevard, Edgewater, Coconut Grove, Coral Gables and the Florida Keys should prepare for flooding.
Flooding continues in Volusia County. In the Deltona area, residents are complaining that more garbage is not being picked up.