Using high-performance computers, researchers from UBA and Conicet combined mathematics and football to find out how many chances Argentina has of winning the Copa America. The work showed that the national team has a 45.17 percent chance of becoming the continent's champion twice. It is in second place with a 16 percent chance, followed by Brazil, almost 30 points behind the team that leads it. Lionel ScaloniInformation can be found at. 301060the site created by specialists at the Institute of Calculus at the Faculty of Exact and Natural Sciences. Wishful thinking and “mofa” aside, the country has strong and scientific arguments to dream of another championship.
“To calculate the Copa America odds, we simulate the tournament a million times and track how far each team has come. Then we add up the times Argentina has reached the final and divide by the number of simulations of the tournament. That’s why we call it an empirical probability.”“They say from 301060, the portal that also praises Diego Armando Maradona.
To compile the odds, the experts took into account the matches each team has already played since the 2014 World Cup, the date of each match, the type of competition (friendly matches are less valuable than knockout matches and cup matches) and the importance of the friendly matches to the competition.
Looking at the end of the group stage, Argentina's chances of going out first are 100%. If they play against Ecuador or Mexico in the quarterfinals (the two teams compete for second place in Group B to face the first in Group A played by the national team), the Albiceleste have odds of between 73 and 75% to qualify for the round and reach the semifinals.
There he will have to face Venezuela, Chile or Canada, against whom he has a chance of more than 70 percent. In the final, the situation is different, and although he is still a favorite, the numbers against potential rivals such as Brazil, Uruguay and Colombia are between 40 and 50 percent. However, Argentina remains the favorite, and science gives us another argument to dream of Messi and his teammates lifting another trophy.
Original note for UNQ Scientific News Agency
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